Moody's Analytics provide extensive analysis and data of the housing market at the national and regional level, covering all aspects (including supply, demand, house prices and foreclosures) for clients who depend on or are exposed to housing markets through prices or level of activity. Consumer lenders, commercial banks, real estate-dependent firms, insurance firms and government institutions depend on our research and data for strategic/market planning, demand assessment, acquisition/development plans, consumer lending, and general investment research.
Through the Housing Market Monitor, clients can assess the near-term prospects for single-family housing in the nation's metropolitan areas and divisions. Our comprehensive analysis provides a framework for studying the demand-supply balance in distinct regions on a historical basis and provides analysis of house price imbalances and the potential for bubbles.
Through partnership with CoreLogic®, Moody's Analytics is the exclusive provider of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index Forecasts, the most relied upon measure for U.S. house prices for which we also provide alternative scenarios. In addition, foreclosure data, is available through partnership with RealtyTrac. The foreclosure data help to inform house price forecasts as well as provide a measure of regional consumer loan performance.
Extensive analysis of the U.S. housing market at the regional level, including supply, demand, and early warning signals. In addition to the detailed analysis, the Housing Market Monitor is supplemented by an extensive database.
Home Price Indexes
Home Price Index Forecasts
Moody's Analytics fully specified equilibrium model, based on Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes, forecasts U.S. single-family home prices and identifies long-term influences on price across states, metropolitan areas and counties. Coverage: the United States, all census regions and divisions, all states, all metropolitan areas and divisions, more than 400 U.S. counties, more than 4,000 U.S. zip codes.
CoreLogic® Home Price Indexes
With over 97,450 monthly time series, CoreLogic Home Price Indexes incorporates more than thirty years (starting in 1976) of repeat sales transactions to create monthly home prices indices covering home price trends at the national (whole-market national index), state, CBSA, county and zip code levels. Includes an index for overall, plus a separate one for distressed sales. Updated monthly.
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LPS Home Price Indexes
Lender Processing Services HPI shows historical price trends for residential properties in the United States, offering cost-effective estimates of property values that underlie residential mortgage portfolios and securities. LPS HPI offers broad coverage with high geographic resolution: Covers more than 75% of existing loans; 98% of these loans to the ZIP code level. Comprises more than 13,000 ZIP codes nationwide, including many in non-disclosure states. Each zip code is broken down into five price tiers (10th, 30th, 50th, 70th and 90th percentiles) to show price range and patterns of change for entry-level homes, high-end homes and homes in the middle market. REO discounts down to the ZIP code level are also provided and used to correct for distortions that otherwise occur when REO sales are included in HPI calculations. Inputs to the index come from two LPS data repositories – SiteX Real Estate and McDash Loan Data. Updated monthly.
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Authoritative U.S. foreclosure forecast and historical data, that can help inform the house price outlook as well as provide a measure of regional consumer loan performance.
Supply of Homes, Pending Home Sales & Housing Stock
National Association of Realtors: Monthly Supply of Homes
Supply of homes series covering more than 100 OMB-defined metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) and metropolitan divisions.
U.S. single-family, multifamily and mobile home stock, separated into owner occupied, renter occupied and vacant stock.